The Boston Celtics and the Toronto Raptors renew their Eastern Conference Semifinal tonight at 6:30 on TNT. Boston leads the series, 2-0.
Despite being down 2-0, there is a little history on the side of the Raptors. In last year’s playoffs, Toronto trailed Milwaukee 2-0 before rattling off four straight victories to win the Eastern Conference Finals. While history supports a Toronto comeback, current form within the Bubble suggest otherwise.
Toronto is 11-0 versus everyone that is not named the Boston Celtics. The Raptors have played the Celtics 3 times in the bubble and have lost all three and 5 of 6 overall this season.
With all three games in the Bubble, there seems to be an alarming trend for Toronto. The three point shot–both offensively and defensively.
Through their three games versus Toronto in the Bubble, Boston has made a total of 48 three pointers. Toronto, on the other hand, has made 31. In this series alone, Boston has outscored Toronto, 96-63 from behind the arc. If Toronto is going to make a move in this series, they are going to need to do a better job defending the three. Allowing over 40% shooting from behind the arc will probably not allow you to win many NBA games.
While Boston has been shooting well behind the arc, Toronto has been struggling. Boston is shooting over 40% from behind the arc compared to Toronto’s 26%. In Game 1, Toronto was 10-40 from three point range. In Game 2, there was not much of a difference. The Raptors shot 11-40. Poor three point defense and poor three point shooting is a recipe for disaster.
Should Toronto not be able to control Boston’s shooting from behind the arc, it looks like Boston will be able to maintain its dominance over Toronto in the NBA Bubble.